4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,782 sqft ·
Built 1943
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,409/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$886
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$506
Net cashflow
$-550/mo
Annual
$-6,605/yr
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.78%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-550 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (32.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (19.4% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 219 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $299k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,409/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1270% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HN78WZ7J7ZWJS8
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29