2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,035 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,354/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$521
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$-500/mo
Annual
$-5,997/yr
Cap rate
3.29%
Cash-on-cash
-10.71%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-500 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (44.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (32.3% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $112k (44.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
Hudson Falls Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #486 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hudson Falls High School (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A, #452 of 1,100 statewide, top 44%, 694 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 43% district-wide (+39 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hudson Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 4.3% in Hudson Falls — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HNH012934WJH6P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29