2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
912 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,433/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$240
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$21/mo
Annual
$250/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.62%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($250/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (1.2% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#2 in NV, #1,723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tobler R E Es (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #254 of 402 statewide, top 64%, 504 students, 100% FRL); Molasky Irwin & Susan Jhs (math 10% / reading 21%, grade F, #93 of 109 statewide, top 86%, 922 students, 100% FRL); Cheyenne Hs (math 4% / reading 20%, grade F, #117 of 131 statewide, top 91%, 2,110 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 30% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clark County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $145k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HNPT9T5PE759HZ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29