2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
972 sqft ·
Built 1888
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$867/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$182
Net cashflow
$139/mo
Annual
$1,672/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.56%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($867 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#736 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Okaw Valley CUSD 302 (rural): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #424 of 620 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 42 units permitted in Moultrie County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Moultrie County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HNRSM0ATHYBRVA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29