477 Abney Rd

Coal City, WV 25831

$110,000D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 990 sqft · Built 1900 · SingleFamily · Active · 106 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $894/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax + insurance: −$183
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$188
• Net cashflow: $-54/mo
• Annual: $-647/yr
• Cap rate: 5.70%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.10%
• DSCR: 0.91
• 1% rule: 0.81%
• Cash to close: $30,800

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-647/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (7.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (18.7% below list).
• It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $89k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 52/100 on livability (#315 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Raleigh County Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #14 of 55 in WV (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Coal City Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 374 students, 0% FRL); Independence Middle School (math 33% / reading 52%, grade D-, #13 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Independence High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #91 of 110 statewide, top 85%, 572 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Raleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Raleigh County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.