3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,018 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,988/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$560
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$417
Net cashflow
$-91/mo
Annual
$-1,090/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (5.3% below list).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#165 in TX, #4,447 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety F.
Garland ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #553 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Daugherty El (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 810 students, 94% FRL); B G Hudson Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 1,207 students, 50% FRL); Sachse H S (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #509 of 1,632 statewide, top 34%, 2,997 students, 43% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 233 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.5% in Garland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-HNY8Z2E7K320MG
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29