2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,212 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,553/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$444
HOA
−$995
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$746
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-512/yr
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.68%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-512/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (2.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $269k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $261k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#344 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities D-.
Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 530 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $59k; list at $269k implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 3→8/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 5.1% in Cathedral City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,553/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1682% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HP89F14ZE0EGJY
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29