2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,423/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$954/mo
Annual
$11,443/yr
Cap rate
14.53%
Cash-on-cash
29.40%
DSCR
2.31
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Glenridge Elementary (446 students, 58% FRL); Meeker Middle School (603 students, 74% FRL); Kentridge High School (2,034 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $115k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 2.6% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HQMPR41X1PGHYC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29