2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Other
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$906/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$190
Net cashflow
$289/mo
Annual
$3,464/yr
Cap rate
13.22%
Cash-on-cash
24.74%
DSCR
2.10
1% rule
1.81%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($906 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,099 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
Porta CUSD 202 (town): math 16% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #363 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HQP8J44KSN2QDB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29