3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,586/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$341/mo
Annual
$4,087/yr
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.42%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$43,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: James Dawson Elementary (math 0% / reading 24%, grade F, #536 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 432 students, 88% FRL); Ronald Mcnair 78 (math 0% / reading 23%, grade F, #225 of 257 statewide, top 88%, 414 students, 87% FRL); Jemison High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #242 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 843 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 46% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 12% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Huntsville City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HR4N8K7C6WXFA1
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29