20413 Velvet St

Oklahoma City, OK 73012

$225,900D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,266 sqft · Built 2026 · SingleFamily · Active · 1 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,918/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,185
• Tax + insurance: −$376
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$403
• Net cashflow: $-46/mo
• Annual: $-553/yr
• Cap rate: 6.05%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.87%
• DSCR: 0.96
• 1% rule: 0.85%
• Cash to close: $63,252

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $226k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-553/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (3.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (15.1% below list).
• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $192k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
• Deer Creek (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #4 of 270 in OK (top 2%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Rose Union Es (math 72% / reading 52%, grade B, #6 of 845 statewide, top 1%, 606 students, 0% FRL); Deer Creek Ms (math 35% / reading 43%, grade F, #10 of 345 statewide, top 3%, 1,179 students, 0% FRL); Deer Creek Hs (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D-, #13 of 447 statewide, top 3%, 2,036 students, 0% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 647 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.