8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1980
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,551/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$905
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,166
Net cashflow
$859/mo
Annual
$10,307/yr
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.36%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$139,972
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $215/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $500k).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($470k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $470k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#61 in IL, #1,071 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Hononegah Chd 207 (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #55 of 620 in IL (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hononegah Chd High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #44 of 693 statewide, top 7%, 1,891 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.8% in Roscoe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HSK34533AZTWSH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29