3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
828 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,006/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,311/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.35%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#346 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Sebeka Public School District (rural): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #117 of 301 in MN (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sebeka Elementary (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #265 of 857 statewide, top 35%, 215 students, 61% FRL); Sebeka Secondary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #189 of 471 statewide, top 44%, 258 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 38% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 52 units permitted in Wadena County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wadena County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HST9ZDAGATPV1Q
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29