2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
778 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,399/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$341
HOA
−$1,300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$924
Net cashflow
$-48/mo
Annual
$-572/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-572/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $351k (2.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $359k).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($327k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $327k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $359k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,399/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1641% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29