3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 205 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,427/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$-407/mo
Annual
$-4,880/yr
Cap rate
4.26%
Cash-on-cash
-7.26%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-407 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (29.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (40.5% below list).
It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $143k (40.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#61 in VA, #1,742 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Roanoke County Public School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 131 in VA (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 360 units permitted in Roanoke County in 2024 (228 in 5+ unit buildings).
Roanoke County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $127k; list at $240k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HT47WFD9WKYVR6
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29