4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,131 sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,566/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,409
Tax + insurance
−$1,341
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,799
Net cashflow
$2,018/mo
Annual
$24,210/yr
Cap rate
10.02%
Cash-on-cash
13.30%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$182,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $504/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $650k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($611k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $611k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 993 students, 56% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-29 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $140k; list at $650k implies a 364% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29