2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
832 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$168
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$369/yr
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.33%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($369/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (19.2% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $80k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#329 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Heber Springs School District (town): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #19 of 238 in AR (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Heber Springs Elem. School (math 48% / reading 40%, grade F, #164 of 454 statewide, top 37%, 756 students, 61% FRL); Heber Springs Middle School (math 60% / reading 58%, grade B, #13 of 201 statewide, top 7%, 380 students, 46% FRL); Heber Springs High School (math 37% / reading 49%, grade F, #37 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 484 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 13 units permitted in Cleburne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleburne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $99k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.1% in Heber Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HVP1HZ7DQ5MQ7N
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29