3 bd · 4.5 ba ·
3,594 sqft ·
Built 1845
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,299/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,031
Tax + insurance
−$2,195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,533
Net cashflow
$-2,459/mo
Annual
$-29,513/yr
Cap rate
3.73%
Cash-on-cash
-9.17%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$322,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $1.15M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-30k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $716k (37.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $730k (36.5% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $716k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $67k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $59k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 94/100 on livability (#2 in PA, #6 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Lower Merion SD (suburban): math 74% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #3 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Gladwyne Sch (math 80% / reading 89%, grade A+, #14 of 1,518 statewide, top 2%, 540 students, 9% FRL); Welsh Valley Ms (math 63% / reading 80%, grade A, #9 of 512 statewide, top 2%, 814 students, 16% FRL); Harriton Shs (math 85%, 1,261 students, 14% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1845 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $175k; list at $1.15M implies a 557% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$108k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.1% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1845 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HVP67D7W0M6Q4J
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29