3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,364 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,166/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$245
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-656/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-656/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (6.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,369 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Sam Fordyce El (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 404 students, 91% FRL); Lorenzo De Zavala Middle (math 18% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,662 statewide, top 87%, 606 students, 89% FRL); La Joya H S (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,775 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 54% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HVPWVTCG6HBHNB
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29