3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 1896
· Other
· Under Contract
· 185 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$736/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$155
Net cashflow
$60/mo
Annual
$725/yr
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.24%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($725/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $74k (7.9% below list).
It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#976 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Zoned schools: Abingdon-Avon High Sch (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #473 of 693 statewide, top 69%, 285 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HVVCKC025245WN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29