2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$104
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$550/mo
Annual
$6,597/yr
Cap rate
39.44%
Cash-on-cash
118.39%
DSCR
6.27
1% rule
4.69%
Cash to close
$5,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($138 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Charlton-Pollard El (math 12% / reading 13%, grade F, #4,167 of 4,322 statewide, top 97%, 508 students, 96% FRL); M L King Middle (math 6% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,653 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 480 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 69% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 39.4% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HWCBMHFAN7ZWZ4
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29