4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,506 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,313/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,281
Tax + insurance
−$412
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$696
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-917/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.10%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$121,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $435k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-917/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $421k (3.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $331k (23.8% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($428k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $331k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Currituck County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #67 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Shawboro Elementary School (math 54% / reading 53%, grade C, #335 of 1,410 statewide, top 24%, 606 students, 30% FRL); Moyock Middle (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 621 students, 24% FRL); Currituck County High (math 52% / reading 64%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,057 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 429 units permitted in Currituck County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Currituck County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $242k; list at $435k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Moyock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HWECJNA0AEY59D
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29