2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Pending
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,578/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,244
Tax + insurance
−$713
HOA
−$895
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$751
Net cashflow
$-1,026/mo
Annual
$-12,317/yr
Cap rate
3.42%
Cash-on-cash
-10.28%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$119,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $428k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $409k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $358k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($377k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $358k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Ps 225 Eileen E Zaglin (The) (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 963 students, 84% FRL); Is 98 Bay Academy (math 96% / reading 96%, grade A+, #2 of 729 statewide, top 0%, 1,488 students, 63% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.2%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-HWK3CV97YR85NZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29