3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,115 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,036/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$85
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$218
Net cashflow
$183/mo
Annual
$2,195/yr
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.47%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (1.3% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $104k (1.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#354 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Heavener (town): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #200 of 270 in OK (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Heavener Es (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #530 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 577 students, 0% FRL); Heavener Hs (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #314 of 447 statewide, top 72%, 310 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $105k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HX0DVW4NMVGD5R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29