2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 318 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,559/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$361
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$756/mo
Annual
$9,066/yr
Cap rate
19.45%
Cash-on-cash
46.99%
DSCR
3.09
1% rule
2.26%
Cash to close
$19,292
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $756 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#400 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 229 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 156% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 1.5% in Chums Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but snow cover makes inspection difficult
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior, but snow cover makes inspection difficult
Major: windows
— No visible windows, but snow cover makes inspection difficult
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible HVAC/mechanicals, but snow cover makes inspection difficult
Major: landscaping/curb appeal
— No visible landscaping/curb appeal, but snow cover makes inspection difficult
CashFlowRE · CFR-HX8THS4BG2WN6F
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29