3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,492 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 105 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,122/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$110
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$173/mo
Annual
$2,077/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.45%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $437 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $-358 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#386 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Bath County (rural): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #139 of 165 in KY (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Owingsville Elementary School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #477 of 676 statewide, top 71%, 530 students, 78% FRL); Bath County Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #189 of 217 statewide, top 89%, 416 students, 78% FRL); Bath County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 618 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 60% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP.
Bath County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $115k implies a 475% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 1.5% in Owingsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29