3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,267 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$364
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$207/mo
Annual
$2,479/yr
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (0.8% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#42 in FL, #668 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Oak Park Elementary School (math 36% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,656 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 501 students, 74% FRL); James Madison Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #381 of 571 statewide, top 67%, 446 students, 65% FRL); Astronaut High School (math 25% / reading 43%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 1,112 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 259 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HXB4JE5YMAKTQV
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29