49 bd · 49.0 ba ·
4,100 sqft ·
Built 1895
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,879
Tax + insurance
−$915
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,186
Net cashflow
$8,192/mo
Annual
$98,302/yr
Cap rate
24.20%
Cash-on-cash
63.95%
DSCR
3.85
1% rule
2.76%
Cash to close
$153,720
Investor read
This is a 7 × 7-bed/7.0-bath units multifamily listed at $549k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($98k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $549k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($541k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $541k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $55k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#483 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Catskill Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #429 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$94k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 2.9% in Catskill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,172/mo this rent would consume 249% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 318% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows signs of wear and tear, with some areas appearing to be peeling or damaged.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping appears to be overgrown and in need of maintenance.
Major: fence
— The fence appears to be in poor condition, with some areas appearing to be damaged or missing.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HXMD755S90T172
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29