1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
470 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,245/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$273
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$467/mo
Annual
$5,601/yr
Cap rate
18.60%
Cash-on-cash
43.95%
DSCR
2.96
1% rule
2.39%
Cash to close
$14,560
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $52k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $51k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#349 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
East Dubuque USD 119 (suburban): math 27% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #196 of 620 in IL (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Dubuque Elem School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 348 students, 0% FRL); East Dubuque Jr High (math 37% / reading 62%, grade C, #51 of 665 statewide, top 9%, 89 students, 0% FRL); East Dubuque High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 200 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Jo Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jo Daviess County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HXY41D2E9KQTS7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29