6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 2002
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,461
Tax + insurance
−$944
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,553
Net cashflow
$1,436/mo
Annual
$17,238/yr
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.33%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$184,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $660k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $718/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $660k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($640k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $640k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $660k implies a 4300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $185k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,395/mo this rent would consume 143% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 7574% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HXYS98E2PZFRR4
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29