3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
3,708 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,641/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,141
Tax + insurance
−$998
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$555
Net cashflow
$-2,053/mo
Annual
$-24,640/yr
Cap rate
2.18%
Cash-on-cash
-14.69%
DSCR
0.35
1% rule
0.44%
Cash to close
$167,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $599k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (49.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (55.9% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (55.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $64k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#372 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Averill Park Central School District (rural): math 58% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #169 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$103k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 56% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HY56X36PF967SF
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29