3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Manufactured
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$290/mo
Annual
$3,477/yr
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.10%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in ID, #1,176 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
Joint School District No. 2 (suburban): math 53% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #11 of 92 in ID (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: River Valley Elementary School (math 53% / reading 53%, grade C, #124 of 357 statewide, top 35%, 427 students, 39% FRL); Meridian Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #141 of 169 statewide, top 87%, 171 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 40% FRL vs 23% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 60% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Joint School District No. 2 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 748 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.1% in Meridian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Deck and railing
— Weathered and in need of repair
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-HY9187AWHDXYD4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29