3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,629 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,351/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$193
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$87/mo
Annual
$1,048/yr
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.50%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (9.9% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#500 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Queen City ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #355 of 826 in TX (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: J K Hileman El (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 384 students, 76% FRL); Morris Upchurch Middle (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 274 students, 61% FRL); Queen City H S (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 296 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— poor condition
Major: kitchen countertops
— poor condition
Major: kitchen appliances
— poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— poor condition
Major: bathroom tile
— poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-HZ4CNSAFWT7F8H
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29