4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,554 sqft ·
Built 1915
· Other
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,929/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$254/mo
Annual
$3,045/yr
Cap rate
7.85%
Cash-on-cash
5.58%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (1.1% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $193k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in WI, #337 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
Superior School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #290 of 342 in WI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lake Superior Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #610 of 1,041 statewide, top 63%, 151 students, 44% FRL); Superior Middle (math 18% / reading 32%, grade F, #315 of 383 statewide, top 82%, 903 students, 51% FRL); Superior High (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #182 of 483 statewide, top 38%, 1,306 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Douglas County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $195k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.6% in Superior — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HZ5057F43WYH1T
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29