2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 281 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,576/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$733/mo
Annual
$8,799/yr
Cap rate
16.64%
Cash-on-cash
36.97%
DSCR
2.64
1% rule
1.85%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 281 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#878 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Middleton-Burney Elementary School (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,046 students, 70% FRL); Crescent City Jr-Sr High School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #499 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,005 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $85k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 2.0% in Welaka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 281 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HZVSM1BAR69M95
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29