803 W Pine St

Robinson, IL 62454

$19,000D

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · Built 1900 · SingleFamily · Active · 44 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $800/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$100
• Tax + insurance: −$57
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$168
• Net cashflow: $476/mo
• Annual: $5,708/yr
• Cap rate: 36.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 107.29%
• DSCR: 5.77
• 1% rule: 4.21%
• Cash to close: $5,320

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $19k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $19k).
• It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $18k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $131 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $570 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#761 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Robinson CUSD 2 (town): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #271 of 620 in IL (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Washington Elem School (410 students, 0% FRL); Nuttall Middle School (math 17% / reading 45%, grade F, #233 of 665 statewide, top 36%, 332 students, 0% FRL); Robinson High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #256 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 452 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Crawford County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.