3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,358 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,935
Tax + insurance
−$323
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$579
Net cashflow
$-80/mo
Annual
$-964/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.93%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$103,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $369k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-964/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $355k (3.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (25.3% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $276k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#163 in FL, #2,445 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F.
Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $171k; list at $369k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Vero Beach South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,757/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 425% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J01E454MGST4Y4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29