3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
477 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Condo
· Active
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,919/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,984
Tax + insurance
−$354
HOA
−$723
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,033
Net cashflow
$-175/mo
Annual
$-2,100/yr
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.32%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$159,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $569k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-175 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $538k (5.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $492k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($501k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $492k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,919/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1641% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J0B0MR02T0VP4M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29