3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,120 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,118/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$776
Tax + insurance
−$143
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-436/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.05%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$41,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-436/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (4.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (24.5% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#84 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Cotter School District (rural): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #67 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Baxter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baxter County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
11 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $148k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.9% in Gassville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J0JAWH865017PS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29