3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,575 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,080/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$544
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$136/mo
Annual
$1,634/yr
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.62%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$29,064
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $718 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#305 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Attalla City (suburban): math 9% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #98 of 129 in AL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Attalla Elementary School (math 12% / reading 46%, grade F, #379 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 700 students, 83% FRL); Etowah Middle School (math 6% / reading 41%, grade F, #172 of 257 statewide, top 68%, 366 students, 85% FRL); Etowah High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #220 of 305 statewide, top 77%, 472 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 64% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $81k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.2% in Attalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J0MNEECJRJHWBQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29