3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,780 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Condo
· Active
· 280 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$672
Net cashflow
$1,773/mo
Annual
$21,280/yr
Cap rate
24.17%
Cash-on-cash
63.86%
DSCR
3.84
1% rule
2.69%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 280 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Oregon Trail SD 46 (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #12 of 183 in OR (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sandy High School (1,440 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 280 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J14VY579FB89MG
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29