3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,209 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,243/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$43
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$629/mo
Annual
$7,552/yr
Cap rate
19.09%
Cash-on-cash
45.72%
DSCR
3.03
1% rule
2.11%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#115 in VA, #3,561 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
Russell County Public School District (rural): math 58% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #44 of 131 in VA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Russell County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 2.7% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J17587401S3H71
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29