3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$912
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$40/mo
Annual
$485/yr
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
1.00%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$48,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $174k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($485/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-17 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#178 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Holly Springs School District (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #111 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Holly Springs Primary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #308 of 375 statewide, top 83%, 358 students, 100% FRL); Holly Springs Intermediate School (math 11% / reading 14%, grade F, #143 of 179 statewide, top 81%, 228 students, 100% FRL); Holly Springs High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #164 of 197 statewide, top 84%, 301 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J21RPJ8GBECPW7
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29