4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,268 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,311/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,914
Tax + insurance
−$1,092
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$485
Net cashflow
$-1,180/mo
Annual
$-14,165/yr
Cap rate
2.41%
Cash-on-cash
-13.86%
DSCR
0.38
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$102,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $365k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (38.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (36.7% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $226k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#831 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, employment A, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Wallkill Central School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #279 of 590 in NY (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Leptondale Elementary School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 464 students, 28% FRL); John G Borden Middle School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #418 of 729 statewide, top 59%, 432 students, 37% FRL); Wallkill Senior High School (math 97% / reading 75%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,004 students, 34% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $280k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 1.9% in Plattekill — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J3RTPG7WQ64BFY
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29