3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
994 sqft ·
Built 1908
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,346/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$414/mo
Annual
$4,972/yr
Cap rate
10.81%
Cash-on-cash
16.14%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, crime F.
Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Steam Academy At Woodrow Wilson Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 207 students, 96% FRL); Central Middle School (math 14% / reading 30%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 629 students, 72% FRL); Port Huron High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,100 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 47% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $110k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.3% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J408858KZG2JG1
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29