4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
4,132 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,969/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$819
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$623
Net cashflow
$294/mo
Annual
$3,531/yr
Cap rate
10.15%
Cash-on-cash
13.76%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#91 in MA, #4,646 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Gateway (rural): math 25% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #236 of 302 in MA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $235k implies a 262% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 1.8% in Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J42VVNFZ04WT92
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29