2900 Grand Avenue #140 Ave

Kearney, NE 68847

$52,000B-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · Built 2007 · Manufactured · Pending · 38 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,167/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$273
• Tax + insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$245
• Net cashflow: $616/mo
• Annual: $7,398/yr
• Cap rate: 20.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 50.81%
• DSCR: 3.26
• 1% rule: 2.24%
• Cash to close: $14,560

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $52k).
• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $50k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $360 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in NE, #858 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Kearney Public Schools (town): math 55% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #43 of 111 in NE (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Emerson Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #373 of 502 statewide, top 77%, 241 students, 65% FRL); Sunrise Middle School (math 57% / reading 53%, grade B-, #31 of 128 statewide, top 24%, 577 students, 48% FRL); Kearney High School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade D, #138 of 261 statewide, top 53%, 1,629 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 30% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 125 units permitted in Buffalo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Buffalo County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 33 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $38k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 2.4% in Kearney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.