2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
860 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Condo
· Active
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,583/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$533
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$-58/mo
Annual
$-697/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.08%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-697/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (8.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#40 in MN, #1,110 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
Robbinsdale Public School District (suburban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #250 of 301 in MN (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Noble Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #703 of 857 statewide, top 84%, 264 students, 69% FRL); Plymouth Middle (math 18% / reading 55%, grade F, #169 of 258 statewide, top 65%, 836 students, 50% FRL); Robbinsdale Armstrong Senior High (math 37% / reading 58%, grade D, #162 of 471 statewide, top 35%, 1,832 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $46k; list at $120k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.8% in Golden Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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