6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,180 sqft ·
Built 1854
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,117/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$655
Net cashflow
$2,072/mo
Annual
$24,867/yr
Cap rate
61.55%
Cash-on-cash
197.36%
DSCR
9.78
1% rule
6.93%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/0.5-bath units multifamily listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bellamy Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,024 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 567 students, 75% FRL); Lyndon H Strough Middle School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 829 students, 59% FRL); Rome Free Academy (math 85% / reading 98%, grade A+, #201 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,511 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1854 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 61.6% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1854 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29