6 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,150 sqft ·
Built 1970
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,407/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$138
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$505
Net cashflow
$877/mo
Annual
$10,522/yr
Cap rate
12.52%
Cash-on-cash
22.24%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $877 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $438/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $159k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Clinton (town): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #149 of 270 in OK (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Southwest Es (math 20% / reading 14%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Clinton Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 629 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $66k; list at $169k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 6.0% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29